Stratos Investment Management

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Key Indicators: Week of March 4, 2024

Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)

• Job openings little changed from the previous month.
• Plentiful jobs (vs unemployed) likely mean reduced likelihood of recession.


ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) Index

  • Still expanding


Unit Labor Costs

  • Labor costs still inflating.


Labor Productivity

  • Rising productivity helps offset rising labor costs.


Non-Farm Payrolls

  • Jobs showing strength with 270,000 jobs being added vs 200,000 expected.

  • Strength in healthcare, government, food service, social assistance, transportation and warehousing.


Unemployment Rate

  • Unemployment rate rose to 3.9% from 3.7%

  • Seems to be some data confusion as jobs were added with little change to labor force, yet unemployed persons rose by 334,000.


Malcolm E. Polley, CFA ®
Chief Market Strategist




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